Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:38:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,376.71
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
5,376.71 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5377 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,974.66 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,491.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,167.31 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0045E3eF2f2A08d8f0172C0E072442327a00B48C
Net receiver
Unknown type
586.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045db332388B7ae9F17e32007bA672b538421A6
Net receiver
Unknown type
580.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
9,141.08 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:37:52 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate42 tx
62,640.9 QUAI • 60 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:36:38 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
13,801.15 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:39:04 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
8,513.64 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:40:16 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:35:26 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
11,316.56 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:41:28 A.M.
-4 min
26 tx
31,401.64 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:34:14 A.M.
-5 min
10 tx
39,838.34 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:33:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,628.46 QUAI
Whale alertPersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
70.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:38:57 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0050001c2d5566985fe67dc585fa5ef8778628dc28ea27cac1666bb82a57dfea
26.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:38:57 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00430066c2f3c8d301d49e6dd25d392ab2d476f6aca263ab12fde58af377d5a4
586.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:38:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0045E3eF2f2A08d8f0172C0E072442327a00B48C
Tx: 0x003f00319654d8136a7ea9b103364af18f8ede5976df661e29b24070ad1d752b
3,491.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:38:57 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Tx: 0x0053002cedcd6b0cfd3385efb448e846943ae28bae0382988150961d5ed180c9
62.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:38:05 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001d0048a40947ae09cccd4710ac2289b21522c3c3e79859041eb4529dffad6d
74.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:38:05 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00700071ca85d3430d2407c1d4e851030fdc0fdde9dabab864bed3d262cc15ee
580.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:38:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0045db332388B7ae9F17e32007bA672b538421A6
Tx: 0x003c0076d30201324dd74e91b41023406534c52791ed71ea5cf8bd29d4a4aa54
483.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:38:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00606312eC1D34bA37A74B3600C0638B743cC7e8
Tx: 0x004e0068d816e795015f9249978f62f39ab213b2a4ba14b7225b48927bd5a0ed