Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:36:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,712.43
Unexplained QUAI: 57,928.48
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
2.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
42
Observable rows
10
23.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
60
Asset volume
62,640.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 62641 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,581.59 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,011.49 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,550.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005D2B9E98b6e50E205281bf5D94Eba63e6416a6
Net receiver
Unknown type
986.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005DD62d10A84d4C1130e497080b4aC35aB6cd17
Net receiver
Unknown type
843.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:35:26 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate42 tx
62,640.9 QUAI • 60 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:36:38 A.M.
-2 min
26 tx
31,401.64 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:34:14 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
9,141.08 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:37:52 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
39,838.34 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:33:02 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
13,801.15 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:39:04 A.M.
-4 min
16 tx
9,405.61 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:31:50 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
8,513.64 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:40:16 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,550.79 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:36:26 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
843.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:36:37 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005DD62d10A84d4C1130e497080b4aC35aB6cd17
Tx: 0x0052007d457e09776f2a5014a83cb66995d9f3f57ca26b75b1d73564c1ffcc0e
193.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:36:37 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0043ed21c06B3Cb0770Cb28112E5c50eE474a924
Tx: 0x007500002c00883e55ec45b2442123385ea70db1c3591678d78ca9a1b8ee5047
29.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:36:33 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007a002cc98c98fb2cdeb1253a4e413f8d7d72ad67a157fd31582c8b98991992
986.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:36:33 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005D2B9E98b6e50E205281bf5D94Eba63e6416a6
Tx: 0x001d000858cf68d87ce4be84d71363ba9f95d4b918d129e183595d75b03a254a
139.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:36:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: StratumX miner
0x0042cd7b12A9ef3B6d1f6deFe55447873B191729
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x007300446d0805a2d507a28667dcabf7bc24be20451f1ca06ed61016ccc0e7a4
1,550.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:36:26 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00428223e5A122Bc9c05E214B591425c0F681C2D
Tx: 0x0032007bcb6a584d5546c3a44f1a5eb7dfaeb74020a1c3f495e2daa326646e93
400.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:36:26 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005b0F3Cf33EEd139a12a653Bd6f76B2249fB035
Tx: 0x0075004dc769b6bd36099b6309da875322ba3a3723bb94f6e0871d3ca61565ac
90.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:36:17 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x005800157e635517c70ba0648deb37ff38913d2c4e082cadb6c57b44a30ad113
127.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:36:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00423DAA82a7620DD963d0030A4A555d6dc72dFD
Tx: 0x005b003107e9f2b187fd61a84b88294230ad1b97466d21a3eec0cfa2846645a6
351.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:36:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005AE28E0163Ba0d77cDC2eB96C44619bFf939d3
Tx: 0x00570076f828141bf99c3e0d021df67fae92f94d4bc6d0ee1301d997f78b0b54