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Spike bucket

09/21/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/21/2026, 2:31:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:32:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
85% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,968.67
Unexplained QUAI: 1,436.95
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
11
68.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
9,405.61 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 9406 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,595.14 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,038.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,659.35 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,082.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
571.62 QUAI across 3 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

11 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 16. The remaining 5 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

4,038.3 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:31:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

11 transactions
119.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:31:21 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007193723AAd343838F2FAD85aAC6Df072b08E11
Tx: 0x005600236cccb929999432283d90f0b117d5beefe4ec1290a9f05891b7212a20
4,038.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:31:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
Tx: 0x000100159b000dfe0f2550b067fe0cba564f27e702ff065a29b10d01645e8b7b
Open txWallet profile
141.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:31:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003B9EB11D8fA06841E5AC54f997AEED3E593bCB
Tx: 0x005b0037e99d60a2703d523d81da445efc0239fae9102199d990e9988b26205a
Open txWallet profile
305.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:31:09 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006f8ad5513be8BCDAcD85d3c2560CC8FE348912
Tx: 0x003200136e11b8f70fbe1634703128abc936ae8356a5da563402f7e983f2578e
435.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:31:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x007a003d06a66dc498b972b907ac2499e38c8138131db876b0d6ff2ff46f78f8
Open txWallet profile
205.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:31:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004a8E53ffcE813f9948115d9C7914878a865461
Tx: 0x00000051c1cf38860e5b22ba4a47565d0270e017cc0a478cbd7d4f0bb10a90b2
Open txWallet profile
32.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:31:01 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0022007deab7760384b8264e93b442c8d5b892917e94069d3b3b8f118ba5b550
110.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:31:01 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0030005345d7e23d4ac7155661a5e6351c9ed518a5e73c267bd13f2d07df591f
351.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:31:01 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004A630994Ba96bEc447B465dB34579ba8195B59
Tx: 0x0056001316f5d193ac7f7100719bf1d527391ff8dff12ce92d43d21f7d84ec07
Open txWallet profile
146.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:31:01 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006da86e430038348C647af027052dD73F59DDba
Tx: 0x00530009896ce48f3d67a05647f2ed7eeca7801a3072d70a5840b03d38434fff
2,082.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:31:01 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0039cC73e7F472aFF0CE38EFD8e98e27Ef8fA062
Tx: 0x00100009277c3652c35338e8df3e5a6f0659d11fa288aa15a5a0f0205d0013d4
Open txWallet profile