Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:30:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:31:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
7% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,436.95
Unexplained QUAI: 20,012.21
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
5
21.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
38
Asset volume
21,449.16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 21449 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:30:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (93% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (7%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
605.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Net receiver
Unknown type
605.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
538.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0049De67419714Cf8f98DEF0aBe240960eD04E72
Net receiver
Unknown type
538.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
190.04 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
6 tx
18,263.05 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:29:25 A.M.
+1 min
23 tx
21,449.16 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:30:37 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
5,654.33 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:28:12 A.M.
+2 min
16 tx
9,405.61 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:31:50 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
14,869.25 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate10 tx
39,838.34 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:33:02 A.M.
-4 min
9 tx
15,496.54 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:25:46 A.M.
+4 min
26 tx
31,401.64 QUAI • 42 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:34:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
605.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:30:43 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
76.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:30:43 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00340049ceed5a05995025c2291a0784654c503957abafa1bb2d3899d741794a
114.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:30:43 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007e0005a97ac9432c70f2aaec51811260bac2f7a6b1c35df3d6c306d6e0606c
103.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:30:43 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006C92D8155d8496ddD64595824c74Cc885AD031
Tx: 0x003400440d23ee3344a12905434abdcaa0028fdea0b9eafde8f2334167315d1d
605.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:30:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
Tx: 0x0064001c63593cab514f7e22d4ecf3d148ef50544091c254e503160c3bd55db8
538.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:30:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0049De67419714Cf8f98DEF0aBe240960eD04E72
Tx: 0x006c002d9e45907b58836a03059232c73c2cd9333fed29b427f713f1cd99a5f9