Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:27:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
19% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,773.73
Unexplained QUAI: 12,095.52
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.0x previous minute
2.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
7
46.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
14,869.25 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 14869 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (81% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (19%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,971.14 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,451.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
530.78 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
Net receiver
Unknown type
519.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0043486d89F5C5176015614d759CBe17d4F2FE16
Net receiver
Unknown type
407.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
14,869.25 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
15,496.54 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:25:46 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
5,654.33 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:28:12 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate30 tx
30,571.74 QUAI • 46 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:24:34 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
18,263.05 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:29:25 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
3,870.11 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:23:21 A.M.
+4 min
23 tx
21,449.16 QUAI • 38 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:30:37 A.M.
-5 min
22 tx
18,815.17 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:22:09 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,608.81 QUAI
Whale alertPersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
33.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:27:30 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007f003f33382be869a8d0590ea597ee93affde96dabc116dae2ac14dd4cc066
1,451.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:27:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00359ffb3E778925D8cC2ffE90F7390D8230e260
Tx: 0x000400243bf48e99ec63ade518b7169888ec435271186c38ec438b5cd5f3d589
117.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:27:30 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0061BbC28fe620458393Af17D27995dEA1C3D281
Tx: 0x0066003490a458a84a103c70c0114d274e04f6949d150e4de3d3cd96133c9423
407.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:27:30 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0043486d89F5C5176015614d759CBe17d4F2FE16
Tx: 0x005a00771edebf6f11cacb44ae2b0f681b87caf7f3c1e44d7ffba2068690042d
121.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:27:19 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00600089BbB84520A3fB0849d69fC8dF563e5Bea
Tx: 0x006d0000342dda4c0f46d69663ea7ca590d23c5316fe767c43a1820608b502cd
519.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:27:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003562fca1121F1B3275f0c6D1F82a0Cd1fed6A9
Tx: 0x000f004de9f65fd78688478d61ec2e35aa98c66307ccb8906a481629ffeb649d
122.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:27:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0042771f03ac01A2E0500030391d2f927BAA4ec4
Tx: 0x00560071965695afb4e6cf180c43c0f9a479222a73e69ba1539b4de7636a5d3e