Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:24:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:25:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
38% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,626.41
Unexplained QUAI: 18,945.33
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
7.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
30
Observable rows
9
30.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
46
Asset volume
30,571.74 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 30572 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (62% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (38%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,868.33 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,478.72 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,526.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,383.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
2,230.72 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
13 tx
3,870.11 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:23:21 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate30 tx
30,571.74 QUAI • 46 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:24:34 A.M.
-2 min
22 tx
18,815.17 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:22:09 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
15,496.54 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:25:46 A.M.
-3 min
11 tx
4,527.51 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:20:57 A.M.
+3 min
15 tx
14,869.25 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
-4 min
26 tx
24,684.8 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:19:45 A.M.
+4 min
10 tx
5,654.33 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:28:12 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,526.39 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:24:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
691.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:24:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
Tx: 0x00490042388c1f8e7ca85d2de3944ff2a1d5233ec119cdbb2bec2b90e92f2039
2,383.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:24:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0032d5F65AB3baf1D0dA38Aa370a6C8d9c94a54e
Tx: 0x000c001f572c6c30216348545f7cfa9e6886dece951c3fe3df30e8c1586c0fbe
1,699.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:24:43 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004FF49613FDf0bcE8fe37dBD4717Af6F87987Fd
Tx: 0x0032007da1637c23ad919283161d313010e0520a4a45f71d8b249fbd97cb5a69
260.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:24:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003b765e56156BFb75DfE454377C595e14E88dCa
Tx: 0x0044002b9250317b4cf41a7ffd3f7da5ea00cdcc9e2e46326a88dc3c386513fc
1,375.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:24:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00323970A6d1ee5999ba0cF7f3c39a7ad26f96e6
Tx: 0x003a005d8c87200601021da8c0c52db18ba1a0ccea8aa910d0f6b8978dcf4f19
48.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:24:21 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004f0010c9eac1d5811337a9995d0eaf21ae5bcefde6ebfc2243974377ed167b
530.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:24:21 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Tx: 0x00090030a22a9baf01a5c080207069b17bf1fb666ef5ef0adec69137bbff338e
1,109.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:24:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0031E81c0896ea730C55dE1ae6a882C688c0E4E1
Tx: 0x00690067faed6f2a5e8c6e021ada926f3a80e41e7fb764448db933d326230222
3,526.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:24:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0038F100cDd3e9Fb74f518FC9D0C19cB35e5457b
Tx: 0x005d0065f73ab8f3edf55bf27957f219b337f1fde58424cf8b5e441abda6551b