Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:20:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,527.51
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
4,527.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 4528 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,708.16 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,062.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0024410419bDd1Fb06f22Dc7eA09fcBeE2fA2FE6
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,036.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
880.72 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
617.16 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate26 tx
24,684.8 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:19:45 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
14,028.69 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:18:32 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
4,527.51 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:20:57 A.M.
+2 min
22 tx
18,815.17 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:22:09 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
2,714.04 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:17:21 A.M.
+3 min
13 tx
3,870.11 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:23:21 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
3,275.76 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:16:10 A.M.
-5 min
7 tx
2,245.87 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:14:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,943.17 QUAI
Whale alertPersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
609.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:20:27 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
Tx: 0x00490062c4eade485d7d3719f54be96822f3ed0141facdc2dec13895ef1338a7
197.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:20:27 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002bfBeD2bE886Adf532cA8fd712949375146A0E
Tx: 0x000d00432958f552ae9f0b5027bb10a148455f08ab87310fa196ae682c94fa7d
177.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:20:27 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002CEc8C4df92b406c2A9cb6f64C5f8c510761Fe
Tx: 0x004a002521ef32dc9a4bbe3685d62a15a0fb5f06189622f700297171e974e868
21.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:20:23 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0057003cf773c47c3b0b4edcb18715fc4a1f5ba71fe7fa0c8f0ff92c579bb5aa
364.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:20:23 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0027a5bC35F2EA14fB6427668a2233eE5DDE73bD
Tx: 0x004c0079bfcfc30e3c9e9cd4cdd0ad5758c29d4e3bc85019b04b85ff7b0202e9
317.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:20:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda
Tx: 0x0077000c49e9143efa4c1e9fa739f3be0769c4338f349d8c66305cb33eed8a77
1,036.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:20:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024410419bDd1Fb06f22Dc7eA09fcBeE2fA2FE6
Tx: 0x0074005a1b6ecf56ae0d87ba32a45c332cb9c2ec69b60fe20300218e3d2a2fdf
338.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:20:09 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00273ceF172f5449057ef36B1f4A4D211caF4Ea5
Tx: 0x003b002442b8fe44ede291a35fc85f50844dd718fa68d52ef2b4b3091b8d2765
102.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:20:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002946e63Cc11e4CFe70f54bf49f6c1719f97bd4
Tx: 0x002c001341445bce232327758b759b638f87cbf6f4bf6cc9ac3db1b1fe58c90d
1,062.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:20:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00226a6d392A35E61F953F09bCb02251491A0d10
Tx: 0x0058007041415c9956ca67f27d063a7885498548536d628893e7c1c9cbf8bd22
300 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:20:09 A.M.
From: 0x006C33a004C4F305758d50DC7f9Af561dF760295
To: 0x005BE5882139c7F2d59b679A81D3dBC562163F57
Tx: 0x0003007191c2c41dcab0e95b8b75b1b50ad89a5c49237aafde6822d6b808816c