Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:11:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:12:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,748.51
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.9x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
11
68.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
14,381.88 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 14382 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
10,738.34 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,932.33 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,038.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,983.74 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,806.23 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
16 tx
14,381.88 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:11:20 A.M.
-1 min
14 tx
15,840.44 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:10:07 A.M.
-2 min
65 tx
12,586.54 QUAI • 80 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:08:55 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate22 tx
25,828.05 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:12:32 A.M.
-3 min
23 tx
769.26 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:07:42 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
10,944.66 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:13:44 A.M.
-4 min
33 tx
20,611.86 QUAI • 47 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:06:30 A.M.
+4 min
7 tx
2,245.87 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:14:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,600.93 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:11:35 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
26.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:11:35 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0013002925befe56dd67a5ccdf7b53031a8e514c138fac5f7cbd7b6a403f7475
335.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:11:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Tx: 0x000d006db193244f12c251a87d8021c289a05903784d718387faca59ef8f2c39
4,600.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:11:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x0001001753b662c4f61134dbbd49d3e03987f34cfe7e4656c9a16965679f6217
423.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:11:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x002b006f7f49ceade007696a2d10b16c7d39cbca6d0efb58858285182761e99a
624.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:11:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Tx: 0x00570018445d9d4c3ea89a9098cde610eb2b982a8a41649bc29b8fbf31888f5e
797.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:11:08 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Tx: 0x0013006a03a39e0d8a047ba2d71f49fae5b420fc91d1cedcb71a40c66e2053ad
308.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:11:08 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015C375eB72991eF63d9095d84FfC5BAEab439C
Tx: 0x0030005b367b21f7714f4071eb623ff71bb3daafdd404ae7dca3efe9f08a6e58
4,038.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:11:05 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b
Tx: 0x005b003e308313ee0c3f37233b38c7c82367ec0662b21a526eab84696a9d7d81
1,331.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:11:05 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000Fb0eC6B6bb287A9653D02d6ce209ace7F8a40
Tx: 0x000c0071e3a0ae4559c82157086060a378e592de5461af6bc052bb1fabbf1aea
1,383.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:11:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x0011003a474bb6f22f15c4152f790ce079f07761ce57a64f709be26254848f1a
877.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:11:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000C6faED4faB16A50Fd2674cFfC24c552846f16
Tx: 0x000c005333e32c9ed41adea77074d0db92879d0a8cca426851e7923aa5c19c57
