Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 2:03:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,181.08
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
30x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
5,181.08 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 5181 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 2:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b
Net sender
Unknown type
4,722.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,722.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
309.74 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
118.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
116.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
27.51 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:02:54 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
172.21 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:01:42 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
5,181.08 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:04:05 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
102.71 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:00:30 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
63.15 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:05:18 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
158.22 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:59:19 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate33 tx
20,611.86 QUAI • 47 addresses
09/21/2026, 2:06:30 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:58:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,722.54 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:03:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
118.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:03:53 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0007002c3bb64622fd6c03b8e67fa95d725da81946548e205f960980606d45a5
115.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:03:53 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0050000c7161961e5f97dc37b8e3e892407021e72b3873ca2d1434f3d24d61f8
32.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:03:53 A.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x003D7BFd84CE0019041DfbaAf387D0a75EBdD215
Tx: 0x002e00419faec36c2b65482d26d53a04a30dc68fc0ed0d7e852ea9c95bd445a5
116.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:03:27 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0059004654ecf1e8f88af1782e01389f438801cdbfb477c906070329a3421b77
76.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:03:27 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0016005e03bcb4999e072ee4b68a24e10dae44cc968da9d37f1fb29518337980
4,722.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 2:03:27 A.M.
From: 0x000C770e0b2cA036C05397a3e65050D77553Ed7b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005800595d00596a8d8cf5f994572d1495abae8e532f080f9084d18eecea1a62