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Spike bucket

09/21/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/21/2026, 1:38:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 1:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,933.9
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
1,933.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1934 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,064.44 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
431.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007bF9CD6e4F047014A839C5B61b7C276fF13825
Net receiver
Unknown type
431.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
197.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

1,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
114.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:45 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007d004a90e7a2bb08cd72a9d094904fbbf1a40b0981cddd2a730265b68a4ca2
64.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:45 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x007a006981815fb47d1c038d8fe344eb3aafa646921ab33013fac6f1c7cf745f
104.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:45 A.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004e0074edf1a9851f379aa9ca775a1592212dbe2b54f78312bf6f34e1495fc6
82.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:41 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00260019541436beacc5ca1167a1da33fe7c68fb67949dd6b972da1661b64bb0
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:41 A.M.
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00150002418fcce4a310c7305a7ddfd1487eca58a6e7a1a15ac9c0ba65fe3ac0
431.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:41 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x007bF9CD6e4F047014A839C5B61b7C276fF13825
Tx: 0x006c0017b8154ca1b1b1d5887b478d838adb80763bf593a11f9aaabd82df188c
Open txWallet profile
88.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00090000b2de5f20742641f31b4457797bea9fc4b1e07d7b36b7878a6ff23f59
47.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0016000713839a8f21d76647902db5f826b3ed1e6c85b38f98c7d6a933405f35