Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 1:38:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 1:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,933.9
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
1,933.9 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1934 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,064.44 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
431.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007bF9CD6e4F047014A839C5B61b7C276fF13825
Net receiver
Unknown type
431.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
197.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
154.57 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:37:43 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
4,999.23 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:36:31 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
1,933.9 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:38:54 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:40:06 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
194.73 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:35:19 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
30,124.03 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:41:18 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
5,827.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:34:08 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
168.53 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:32:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
114.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:45 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007d004a90e7a2bb08cd72a9d094904fbbf1a40b0981cddd2a730265b68a4ca2
64.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:45 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x007a006981815fb47d1c038d8fe344eb3aafa646921ab33013fac6f1c7cf745f
104.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:45 A.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004e0074edf1a9851f379aa9ca775a1592212dbe2b54f78312bf6f34e1495fc6
82.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:41 A.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00260019541436beacc5ca1167a1da33fe7c68fb67949dd6b972da1661b64bb0
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:41 A.M.
From: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00150002418fcce4a310c7305a7ddfd1487eca58a6e7a1a15ac9c0ba65fe3ac0
431.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:41 A.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x007bF9CD6e4F047014A839C5B61b7C276fF13825
Tx: 0x006c0017b8154ca1b1b1d5887b478d838adb80763bf593a11f9aaabd82df188c
88.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00090000b2de5f20742641f31b4457797bea9fc4b1e07d7b36b7878a6ff23f59
47.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:38:00 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0016000713839a8f21d76647902db5f826b3ed1e6c85b38f98c7d6a933405f35
