Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 1:36:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 1:36:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 1:37:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
3% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 154.57
Unexplained QUAI: 4,844.67
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
26x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
4,999.23 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171 • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 1:36:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
Net sender
Unknown type
85.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
85.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
68.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
68.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
194.73 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:35:19 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
4,999.23 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:36:31 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate8 tx
5,827.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:34:08 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
154.57 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:37:43 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
168.53 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:32:56 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
1,933.9 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:38:54 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
1,082.27 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:31:44 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:40:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
85.66 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:36:59 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
85.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:36:59 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00630042aaebc604cc39f8933fd9c2efd4bc9fbb50891d89eda363b844b22c97
68.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:36:30 A.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00540005f19f8becf3cf79275597baa7db2f00d7df6e9afacdfa76d409792c2b