Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 1:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 1:12:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 1:13:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,203.01
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
422.14 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46 • 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 422 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46 • 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 1:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46
Net sender
Unknown type
750 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04
Net receiver
Unknown type
750 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
342.15 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00222D8A6f4C78Fc438637Aa9ea01b8227c3EF23
Net sender
Unknown type
263.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
92.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate44 tx
3,996.83 QUAI • 60 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:11:26 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
422.14 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:12:38 A.M.
-2 min
52 tx
1,073.31 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:10:13 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
2,241.94 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:13:51 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
333.71 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:09:00 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
130.07 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:15:02 A.M.
-4 min
51 tx
1,157.9 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:07:48 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
36.76 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 1:16:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
750 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:12:56 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46
To: 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
750 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:12:56 A.M.
From: 0x00788C6d5A3b84740B80d0E79Fc61BABd1C3ed46
To: 0x003e63DD071B59B1fB5F2b0665cdA6505277fA04
Tx: 0x00260047d37580db51f7cd8c10bdda789219ccc6c2d5adbee78f97944045ee5b
17.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:12:56 A.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00700013523cc4a655ddc953fddca1458d4369cc01dc6ab71e9d0d20a1ac5638
263.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:12:56 A.M.
From: 0x00222D8A6f4C78Fc438637Aa9ea01b8227c3EF23
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002a0076e3889166bf2e5eec671eadea3f5bb6d1fdd4c2312041d119a336e756
60.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:12:56 A.M.
From: 0x005cA1059c1fE0F38760c5B031032CA24F785E05
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005c006c6b3242c5d2cd4f7fedbe8895e8bdef9e844684fd96560b74d156eefe
92.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:12:21 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00370076ae438c25a29b60eeddfc8a82cdebb63180820165af19d3591e0537a9
13.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:12:21 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0065006d1b3bb228c065e014868f83d2768dc37cf6189c21c9875ca8704e9d82
4.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 1:12:21 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x005d002e5bd4d9e18e7931704a8c00056791067255a66f149423e75fd145f951