Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 12:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 12:45:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 12:46:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 512.73
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.4x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
41.5 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 42 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 12:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
227.73 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
179.1 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
117.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
105.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
105.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
41.5 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:45:05 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
108.32 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:43:54 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
512.73 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:46:17 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
306.98 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:42:42 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
265.63 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:47:28 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:41:31 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate4 tx
1,536.5 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:48:40 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
114.84 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:40:19 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
117.37 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:45:56 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
62.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:45:56 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005e002124082b95a502dd722e06174dfc57c9ea728a7057a039fa7603d0629d
38.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:45:56 A.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003a004f23d4be4ee0bbd68dd425a4af7c65734adc1e4b54493d79c22494181c
117.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:45:56 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0074001e66b585423f7974d426415744bd0ace5c36b5881523aff8b037f2a405
105.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:45:38 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x007d005e5ec37bc72f1827437ae455cb2a9fe6d05d2492a56ac6bde52c46a5ce
27.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:45:38 A.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0010000011ee9ce5410c1d29224543710a6d9b621f91da20561f797bce3f8c72
61.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:45:10 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001a00306fb6bea26eb31938a6ee17c88a551c04f161241f5342881fea3798e4
99.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:45:10 A.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00420079ad4ed21079415c33d3b8b02bda165119f1b2efd21430daa795500e45