Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 12:12:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 12:13:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
95% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,092.25
Unexplained QUAI: 52.84
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
2.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
10
90.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
1,145.09 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 1145 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
878.65 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
Net sender
Unknown type
248.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00307ce5b07B2776A657c069e17b9bB5a6b09B97
Net sender
Unknown type
200.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
Net sender
Unknown type
111.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
Net sender
Unknown type
109.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 878.65 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:11:35 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
1,145.09 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:12:46 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
565.16 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:10:23 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
1,636.88 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:13:59 A.M.
-3 min
54 tx
950.53 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:09:12 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
134 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:15:11 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
82.9 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:08:00 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
4,769.83 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:16:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
248.91 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
69.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:12:40 A.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0048000ff17a462c8cad3d08f0626808876ecd5ad3a1a7d0a8cac9c64acf252f
26.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:12:21 A.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005f00095cbb9eae86d4a0e5e107c826495d78e31b17d376179d98304d591db7
86.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x00250028ad12cec6c6df283fa60637e1b8eff5cd249760a43b3201ea989107c5
31.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001c006c1a0f287d224b6bddbbffcc4fb32d7deea6fff252b39945f36e5628fa
111.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005900439f50166c39bd3533f6b281404ebbd270c7432e745f0f91d98e2bbf72
109.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e0070e64e572fb214498e3ce5ab00c46905c616659b5e7cead53ca2738e13
101.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00430058fb992fa817e401492848e30a3ec954f6cbdded21fcee4dfe21ffa609
200.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x00307ce5b07B2776A657c069e17b9bB5a6b09B97
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e0056f609a2acc73bfea92557aabf655f6e01da189c1ceb0e9edc4de63cea
248.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x007de96950a40303EA94BCfb04e223A095a7eb36
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0001004e52ac79eef0108af19713aea05592c9c3885446ede83ab9dc3cebeb79
107.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:12:00 A.M.
From: 0x00013a286CCE4d2D5C5b47A313977bb5B981A30b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b00797fd7db5f2932bfbf8be78ac5f89385cedf67792e446cbaafb30e5827