Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 12:10:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 12:10:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 12:11:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
91% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 515.62
Unexplained QUAI: 49.55
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 30% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.6x previous minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
9
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
565.16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 565 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 12:10:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
488.2 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
155.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
146.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
131.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
27.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
565.16 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:10:23 A.M.
-1 min
54 tx
950.53 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:09:12 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
82.9 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:08:00 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:11:35 A.M.
-3 min
54 tx
1,367.73 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:06:48 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
1,145.09 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:12:46 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
96.68 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:05:35 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate7 tx
1,636.88 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:13:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
155.71 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:10:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
27.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:10:07 A.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0018004c51360ab413b1ea49eb061fb3629eb3dfc9ccbdf53f6792dd27dd61f2
131.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:10:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x00280019734c05a61496744d75d194673914efd5e137f071a03e9c6bc680d161
155.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:10:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0050006d04fd3dfb3e501832db8527088daba82526f7dd620087aaac5cc68e0c
8.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:10:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0055F4bDaC95E394DcbB8DF8c4A87291629E967a
Tx: 0x0022000e5ce52eff17622291f3a5756e5a3147a526fc598311a89c9ce03d7f31
8.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:10:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003Bf2Af543544F1415deA8149d24bF90C23b8b4
Tx: 0x0069004a97b09843d161b41fc96d3d66f7c0ce232bda64596d6f23dad703bc80
4.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:10:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0008E77A0dD7DF694769928733B983D84426Ff02
Tx: 0x00450059494fcd668cea7fe17c271d991f49402a7822b0c1240843e39e7e189d
146.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:10:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x000a005e1ca51793ddb7ab3eebaf0bd20bd4b5f809678f0ad53c3aee9be9052e
22.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:10:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x00550062e473dec2b182d002dfb3117850fcb6acfa94cd1f93d2cda14a2902e6
9.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:10:07 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00441D0859a3998b05671c490Dd7e42f45E3a5a7
Tx: 0x000d007a970da1d472a9f4dc76104306aff73ed391cf2894e152fa7313cf5ed2
