Spike bucket
09/21/2026, 12:02:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/21/2026, 12:02:00 A.M. to 09/21/2026, 12:03:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
72% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 199.8
Unexplained QUAI: 76.05
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
275.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 276 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/21/2026, 12:02:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (28% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
65.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
65.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
51.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
51.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
50.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
275.86 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:02:00 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:00:48 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
199.8 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:03:12 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
263.13 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:59:37 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
329.92 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:04:24 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
58.25 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:58:25 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
96.68 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/21/2026, 12:05:35 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
65.38 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:57:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
65.44 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:02:27 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
51.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:02:54 A.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0073003433e44d858ef0bde2ede5cab7e15e15fce90d054eb45c50b5154840bc
31.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:02:27 A.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00460079a24cc6893a1ba3e8af7575ca538c8fb395e89cb6ed541b61dbf65e8e
65.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:02:27 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00400074ec7dcd46f9b46aa2f3a6bba06f9a24ea4b88beede661425829fb1580
50.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/21/2026, 12:02:27 A.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003c004e4ef9fd36901788f3a674d14764761b6f7d712b611cf637261ac685f2