Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:38:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
22% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 108.24
Unexplained QUAI: 391.76
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 78% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
4.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
500 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 500 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (78% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (22%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
84.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
84.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
24.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
24.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
500 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:38:04 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate12 tx
36,448.16 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:36:52 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
108.24 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:39:15 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:35:39 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:40:26 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
24,334.77 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:34:28 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:41:37 P.M.
-5 min
12 tx
20,722.18 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:33:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
84.15 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:38:29 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
24.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:38:29 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00680046bc1d728e0bdf1333f354abb3a98dc2b807a7ba50a60a9f5bce05b5e9
84.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:38:29 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0056007fdb74be1722679d684d64f12d3b0142439a6b13621439c446675289f8