Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:34:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:34:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:35:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
59% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14,334.77
Unexplained QUAI: 10,000
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
1.2x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
24,334.77 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 24335 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:34:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (41% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (59%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,334.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
Net sender
Unknown type
14,271.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
63.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
24,334.77 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:34:28 P.M.
-1 min
12 tx
20,722.18 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:33:15 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
10,916.71 QUAI • 4 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:32:03 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:35:39 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
6,070.85 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:30:52 P.M.
+3 min
12 tx
36,448.16 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:36:52 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate4 tx
50,097.35 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:29:40 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
500 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:38:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,271.6 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:34:16 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
14,271.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:34:16 P.M.
From: 0x0053520a106e85957A581158a1Ac76f146FD32C3
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0044002dab301d6e1fdf753298094321cb6d448ff7850aee18551c8c6be7b1a0
63.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:34:05 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00240032aaa1316e5b8ddf9d8021f11a37b18e3130e4d6c83659d3a8fa1d1bc6