Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:20:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 257.25
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.6x previous minute
0.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
67.77 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 68 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
145.13 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
112.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
112.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
83.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
61.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
67.77 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:20:07 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
105.16 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:18:55 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
257.25 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:21:18 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,718.91 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:17:44 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
64.67 QUAI • 4 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:22:29 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
111.97 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:16:33 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
30,036.35 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:23:42 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:15:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
112.13 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:20:07 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
83.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:20:28 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006f003564bb6482f7ba964904007f060e284ef82412d9f3c6d70b99086c4bd4
61.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:20:28 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00620009e9c3659398b193b3072ac4619dce871d3cdb44a63c27ac6bd0d3f41f
112.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:20:07 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00670036778297cb35fe5477ba360b2024e11325c7a03011121d50fc9e2e8906