Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:12:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,152.97
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
14x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
20,152.97 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 20153 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
107.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
107.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.59 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate9 tx
21,581 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:11:45 P.M.
-1 min
28 tx
1,489.8 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:10:33 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
20,152.97 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:12:58 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
2,909.23 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:14:09 P.M.
-3 min
56 tx
1,292.57 QUAI • 71 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:09:22 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:15:21 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:08:09 P.M.
-5 min
52 tx
20,682.07 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:06:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.03 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:49 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
107.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:49 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007d002e8bfedd55034f5b80dc6783cfe392f25371c9603256a0edc40884b410
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:49 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x002000170cb20dedfb482654c12ff9c97cb03f0dd0b1f9a172219d9cb3c5735e
11.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:49 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0026007281c62fc3b42a3c6327307f1e4215d2cf413d88d7618b72210d1cadb3
16.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:49 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0014001f80a0c3f464ffe7bfb23f193e4b02be9a53bc8db52febb60ad715d1c9
19,999.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:49 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00700042d007f6232d3adffd308148830f2e019f6f09e0d13444b53b37241aba
15.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:49 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004900389f67b8dbc500ef5ee66a1ea784ff826cbdca82a7f8bd1209a1f4391b
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:12:32 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
Tx: 0x0028005ddbee8110c9265e98f530bd73a2f25e0c895251426e71a06306f3d205