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Spike bucket

09/20/2026, 11:11:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/20/2026, 11:11:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:12:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,487.69
Unexplained QUAI: 93.31
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
17x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
8
88.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
21,581 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 21581 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
  • Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,328.6 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,017.34 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
945 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
141.75 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Actor intelligenceWallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,328.6 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Alert contextSignal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min-5 min-1 min+1 min+5 min+15 minRaw alerts API
8 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 9. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
28 tx
1,489.8 QUAI • 29 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:10:33 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate9 tx
21,581 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:11:45 P.M.
-2 min
56 tx
1,292.57 QUAI • 71 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:09:22 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
20,152.97 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:12:58 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:08:09 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
2,909.23 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:14:09 P.M.
-4 min
52 tx
20,682.07 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:06:57 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:15:21 P.M.

Biggest whale alert

19,998.27 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:33 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
108.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:37 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005e0017193877d32e9ebbda910d868c19412266f0178469e052168da311b934
Open tx
103.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:37 P.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e006aeaff0b99135524e22990d19e9f95387a52c9ccd18d44d90bebdafd4e
Open txWallet profile
19,998.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:33 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0006006dc075d14f99e570caa56815600352c5398d4c56503ffecf36a40cb2fa
Open txWallet profile
119.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:33 P.M.
From: 0x005909eB20B7AAbB87d9E9C8a1daC2E9d8cE956b
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005b00564a6ec63c157aa3f4669360f1844029e150c4eb41c572559ff2da39df
Open txWallet profile
106.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:33 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0036001272ff3dc15e8e8498d95414c9b83f2a6885fa4ae8c415eebfdabb34b4
Open txWallet profile
72.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:25 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003f00167bebfb9c5809db7a543a4b108cbd2f2e725679b874b5a241c4c98f62
Open tx
33.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:25 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004f007d7b1cda15c75541422405c5f3366ec0f269cc5ea2d53a99a5e71aacd0
Open tx
945 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:11:25 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0036004ac503b5ce23871952efd6e65512dbbb290509e8163b1a7baa6a7adc42
Open tx