Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 11:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 11:03:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 11:04:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,729.04
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.3x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
181.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0004a1cDD96De2311108499Dc50E22cBaee80ABF.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 181 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0004a1cDD96De2311108499Dc50E22cBaee80ABF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 11:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,616.73 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0004a1cDD96De2311108499Dc50E22cBaee80ABF
Net sender
Unknown type
863.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0036b5ba6AA33704C97d29C63B16A6f1716b1334
Net sender
Unknown type
753.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
74.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
74.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
181.21 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:03:21 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
134.64 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:02:10 P.M.
-2 min
5 tx
20,257.85 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:00:57 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
1,729.04 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:04:33 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate3 tx
30,193.32 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:59:46 P.M.
+3 min
7 tx
30,112.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:05:45 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
20,296.15 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:58:34 P.M.
+4 min
52 tx
20,682.07 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/20/2026, 11:06:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
863.45 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:03:20 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004a1cDD96De2311108499Dc50E22cBaee80ABF
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
37.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:03:55 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002f0059ffbe7e1795506e04014b5a30336f9d6e1d3f1abf09ef7da603663fe0
74.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:03:20 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x00230045aebd397d14d368ec5b86131ce2f32147ca9d1590885c45068718c7ca
753.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:03:20 P.M.
From: 0x0036b5ba6AA33704C97d29C63B16A6f1716b1334
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0037001a7e4a5eb8815ce90755366f687bcd673bdb7014587766ecfc862bdfd8
863.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 11:03:20 P.M.
From: 0x0004a1cDD96De2311108499Dc50E22cBaee80ABF
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000c003d7fedf0c88b5dd680c5d573827cfb6935815ff70ce8e5d488b6d2ac68