Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 10:48:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 10:48:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 10:49:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 779.11
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
2.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
779.11 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 • 0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 779 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 • 0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 10:48:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
600 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
131.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
101.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004001E703f26A994673422aB86Ad04302745f8D
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
31.69 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:47:45 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
266.96 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:46:34 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
779.11 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:48:57 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
95.53 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:50:09 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
186.75 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:45:22 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
119.02 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:51:22 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
49.34 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:44:11 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate21 tx
84,802.57 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:42:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:48:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:48:39 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90
Tx: 0x006f005116186979691567bb4021ee938e1f444145990c64e634454799cbed83
29.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:48:37 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x003d00104c88889dc376ae52dcb6589be42b0c6e86caf385a3c1de8f635268db
47.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:48:18 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004a0008dbb8a2e482b569ce604984e0c9e0bb1a5439b4e34dd7b9823c2895cd
101.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:48:18 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001400171f51b8bf086abbd66a2e01127eaed258d6c63404b3d316e549597986
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:48:18 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x004001E703f26A994673422aB86Ad04302745f8D
Tx: 0x007b006b54962aceffe25fc2484a9e3cd5c0d85ca2bf382817f479fa6d409578
