Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 10:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 10:38:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 10:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
85% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 158.85
Unexplained QUAI: 28.87
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
187.72 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 188 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 10:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
92.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
92.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
66.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
66.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
187.72 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:38:08 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate6 tx
70,656.37 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:36:56 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
237.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:39:21 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:35:44 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
1,164.45 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:34:33 P.M.
+3 min
42 tx
45,594.52 QUAI • 54 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:40:34 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
274.53 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:41:47 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
65.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:33:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
92.32 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:38:03 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
66.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:38:39 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x005f004a1d7b3167bab7a989720a1019916a9ccd60cd46089af553bdbef4aaa4
92.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:38:03 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x004800726bff6f2b7d20e0379f08f1104267d8e7189ec24b7b047e558398e9e7