Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 10:36:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 10:36:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 10:37:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
15% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,700
Unexplained QUAI: 59,956.37
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
7.7x above local average
61x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
2
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
70,656.37 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2 • 0x002848ef46CFbc9B29BA1ABd61Be50086C7EBF19.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 70656 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2 • 0x002848ef46CFbc9B29BA1ABd61Be50086C7EBF19.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 10:36:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
Net sender
Unknown type
10,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002848ef46CFbc9B29BA1ABd61Be50086C7EBF19
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:35:44 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
1,164.45 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:34:33 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
70,656.37 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:36:56 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
187.72 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:38:08 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
65.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:33:22 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
237.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:39:21 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
624.32 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:32:10 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
329.24 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:30:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,200 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:36:10 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
To: 0x002848ef46CFbc9B29BA1ABd61Be50086C7EBF19
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:36:23 P.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90
Tx: 0x005000157bfcefe74302224cb6dc02f1487bc58e01339a9a7b9e0a378f7298ab
10,200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:36:10 P.M.
From: 0x0002AA250aFb2ced3e164E0a0CF9465CEa79DEc2
To: 0x002848ef46CFbc9B29BA1ABd61Be50086C7EBF19
Tx: 0x0067000dc1e93cef7373d2919713209d9e3ba240c3788e9677b43b7bda9bf166