Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 10:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 10:26:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 10:27:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 49,094.42
Unexplained QUAI: 38.35
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
4.9x above local average
1455x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
49,132.76 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 49133 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 10:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
Net sender
Unknown type
28,998.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
28,998.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
64.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate4 tx
49,132.76 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:26:11 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:24:59 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
33.77 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:27:23 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
492.28 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:23:48 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
117.39 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:22:36 P.M.
+3 min
7 tx
357.68 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:28:35 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
285.95 QUAI • 6 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:29:47 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
29,019.87 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:21:24 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
28,998.39 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:26:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
32.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:26:38 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x006c0073b7be344cdc2fa722460c1d807004cdebb286b5e88bd34b8902c0297d
64.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:26:09 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x001c0058973362f1e8ba8369d5fc89e3abaae390e2a2e428bbb2181dbda5bbff
28,998.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:26:09 P.M.
From: 0x006cD031486ec2aDbD4D38a55a162b216c813A3C
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00370036093e4d5e1ce23a8fb445832377c41cf9c20f9111abc01e871c8f726c
19,999.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:26:09 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x004300128f27bebe0c577f70b27ef10144fe08398b81119cd9500e09efb3f5ba
