Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 10:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 10:22:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 10:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 176.42
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
117.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 117 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 10:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
111.37 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
83.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
65.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
65.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
27.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
29,019.87 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:21:24 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
117.39 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:22:36 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:20:13 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
492.28 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:23:48 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
213.38 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:19:02 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:24:59 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
232.03 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:17:50 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate4 tx
49,132.76 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:26:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
83.98 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:22:45 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
27.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:22:56 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007a004afc0482e08ffa49798294f732b41e4567899c66ffc2121d0d142c50e5
83.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:22:45 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003a0078bfbcafb893f3ecd755b033199fad36b37ae7b5f710142a3b2428fb3b
65.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:22:45 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000e003eb0be68020e9fdaa42e6a1d42f62874fe0ea8cb8d0c6a6e166d659db2