Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 10:18:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 10:18:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 10:19:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 213.38
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
213.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 213 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 10:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
Net sender
Unknown type
110.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
110.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
102.97 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
83.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
19.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
232.03 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:17:50 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
407.64 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:16:38 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
213.38 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:19:02 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:20:13 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
39,993.73 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:15:26 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
29,019.87 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:21:24 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
179.08 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:14:15 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
207.01 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:13:03 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
110.41 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:18:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
83.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:18:33 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004c00388cdd158e5118503b4286dee5577f2ce901d473b0d43d6d569cbc5529
19.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:18:06 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004d00284c60f4132ad447cc01d81f6a696f157cca372a64d30d9fd3484986f9
110.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:18:06 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0076006f846628e65407419fd3e28a47899a0f94b65066ce3886a3a887b879a8