Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 10:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 10:10:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 10:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 568.28
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
568.28 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 568 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 10:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
452.71 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
150.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
144.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
119.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
115.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate54 tx
41,102.12 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:09:28 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
568.28 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:10:39 P.M.
-2 min
53 tx
981.95 QUAI • 72 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:08:14 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
427.15 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:11:51 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
17.9 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:07:01 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
207.01 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:13:03 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
91.31 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:05:50 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
179.08 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/20/2026, 10:14:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
150.55 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:10:18 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
115.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00640071dc42d72ff248c4d2f737a337677932514d86a41adb891f3f6b87a7bb
5.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0041047fb41Fbb3952b197F81aaCF0661BEAab75
Tx: 0x0054001b370a650bec1c971364ac261eb998cddb0f1add6196226d70b4ecdc99
144.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0056007805911daa4514cea82db9e930b8b9835c74108a144d8639c8d51398d2
6.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0055F4bDaC95E394DcbB8DF8c4A87291629E967a
Tx: 0x00320074251778cf1e4c85f6d37052bc8d7f2c68e5fad5c61a1b039571435a08
25.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x00650035af462d92936fdeceff2484ada96f63164c9810b8f19388d2dad6ba69
150.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x000f00251548fc4bb308f954030d1bcf249409fae1f36d90ead41ce7ced96852
119.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 10:10:18 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x007800745fd005fc0fc570a0762134313a94beba2ed9d16b4695cedf8a3f7685