Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 9:45:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 9:45:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 9:46:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
67% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 120.36
Unexplained QUAI: 58.93
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
6.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
179.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 179 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 9:45:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (33% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
120.36 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
71.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
49.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
26.48 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:44:20 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
179.29 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:45:32 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
115.75 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:43:09 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
412 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:46:45 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
252.86 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:41:57 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:47:56 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:40:46 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
177.82 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:49:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
101.98 QUAI
Whale alertPersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 9:46:00 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
49.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 9:45:45 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002d0012cef5c93909e0a0f06c565a3ade2f32af4ef8a3ee6c84407329e272ef
71.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 9:45:39 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003f0074ba564a2541de1410476fb17f9d30df0929ca11459fed13aa35164874