Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 9:30:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 9:30:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 9:31:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 158.05
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.2x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
85.54 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 86 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 9:30:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
108.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
108.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4
Net sender
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
50 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
85.54 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:30:00 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
70.07 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:28:49 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
158.05 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:31:11 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:27:37 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
143.23 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:32:23 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
117.76 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:26:26 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate8 tx
1,365.18 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:33:35 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
341.44 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:25:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
108.05 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 9:30:24 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 9:30:43 P.M.
From: 0x004dd9AFAA2768642B5cDe15c24F37bF19d842E4
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00540046232ba56d1852f83b94a985bca1f7865b6198936d1fbe6f4cb231e36d
108.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 9:30:24 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0030002b901d0a1eb77600dcf52db48df6ba5a8714b46057947ce8f8e6d63770
