Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 9:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 9:19:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 9:20:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 69.89
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 68% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.2x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
20 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 20 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 9:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
69.89 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
47.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
22.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
20 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:19:15 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
106.85 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:18:03 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
174.48 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:20:26 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
497.47 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:16:52 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
356.01 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:15:40 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
2,494.63 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:21:38 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
229.09 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:22:50 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
92.36 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:14:28 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
47.8 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 9:19:41 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
22.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 9:19:41 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x003300002c33346bb01cd3caef6f7378dd95bc5bd317d2d6c324d4b9bc01c110
47.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 9:19:41 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00260065f905e93f550525d8e128728bfbef64e72ebfe0ba9815625f8f552da5