Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 9:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 9:04:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 9:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 89.81
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
89.81 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 90 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26 • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 9:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
57.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
57.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
32.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0037F0FAAf49727f305cef2E9daaA4FA98DD9516
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
114.26 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:03:38 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
89.81 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:04:49 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
113.51 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:02:25 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
383.91 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:06:01 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
97.62 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:01:13 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate51 tx
916.94 QUAI • 53 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:07:13 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
142.69 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:00:02 P.M.
+4 min
25 tx
450.11 QUAI • 41 addresses
09/20/2026, 9:08:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
57.58 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 9:04:27 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
57.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 9:04:27 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00700061c4cf4a961e3c61a954557f985849b23d5548ae34399d87a001854e4a
32.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 9:04:27 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x0037F0FAAf49727f305cef2E9daaA4FA98DD9516
Tx: 0x007400463ef8425ac07b1c30fbb0f64e46a765c6d975673926beea757b6cef79