Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 8:55:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 8:55:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 8:56:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 433.17
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 23% of explained volume
Relative context
3.3x above local average
1.7x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
360.32 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 360 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 8:55:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
198.13 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
153.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006f56Ac78e7274d88bD5dBBd382bb38f83427F0
Net receiver
Unknown type
99.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
97.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
81.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
360.32 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:55:13 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:54:01 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
212.66 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:56:25 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
114.35 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:52:50 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
154.74 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:51:37 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:57:37 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:58:50 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
40.33 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:50:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
99.04 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:55:10 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x006f56Ac78e7274d88bD5dBBd382bb38f83427F0
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
18.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:55:39 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000d007d330ba00a579c6f97e781073bfb1f89811309ee77b50e8c3202926ecb
54.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:55:39 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0070acB8C9f60170Cde7cD8CD342c45E4eD2Ed8F
Tx: 0x002f003250adb065de905513e36e797d2f80c200d629012887f51863854f06fb
97.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:55:10 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002d001d48efa726e8b5d0c8c8b66a5b2368a98aa74a7164365bebbc5b3d2e52
15.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:55:10 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00110010c52599c803e95de345376fcc24e5c182e3e90130fb3b846a4c2baf34
81.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:55:10 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x006f0031d51a42a048cccff29839dcd864c2d2d77c5395909de8d7703276ef8e
66.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:55:10 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0054004429876206d0d48ff6f0fb92004fc62ca6a55ad3fb9c13467fb0e2a303
99.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:55:10 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x006f56Ac78e7274d88bD5dBBd382bb38f83427F0
Tx: 0x001e002eea80e6d8463a7b6b8db335e993517daa31805bd2b32e14d709b0dad0