Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 8:36:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 8:36:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 8:37:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 223.95
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 8:36:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
116.75 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
107.21 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
84.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
80.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
26.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:36:01 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
246.95 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:34:49 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
223.95 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:37:12 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
97.22 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:33:37 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
41.93 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:38:27 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
99.89 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:32:26 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
38.93 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:39:38 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate4 tx
293.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:31:15 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
84.04 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:36:02 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
80.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:36:48 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0006000a8eb3a29ce1a5df2e3f7684fc72972f9124666f409e60356fe76b85f4
16.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:36:48 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001c0054b793f32c01c9bd95f432b29fdc88d33f03d51fba4f4592847c73ef9c
16.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:36:48 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00710004275c3d795676c9bf41a3f3970e67f14452f664034e599c22c53aae66
84.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:36:02 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000a002c16106beae8d532568d9e4435489a980dd41b80bbd20d5d0fc576c191
26.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:36:02 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0011001a12f0a20176a216370ec833f04b1f131ba21816f5909512cf2203990e