Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 8:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 8:11:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 8:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 418.11
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
418.11 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 418 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 8:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
307 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
111.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
111.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e84C5B931a633Ddb6f028Db2a26C3F0563609
Net sender
Unknown type
103.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001C65111C294EbF05E3C3358491058848C917BF
Net sender
Unknown type
103.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 307 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
19 tx
43,001.67 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:10:56 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate55 tx
50,867.11 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:09:44 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
418.11 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:12:08 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:08:31 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
20.61 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:13:20 P.M.
-4 min
51 tx
692.82 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:07:19 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
255.32 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:14:32 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
129.26 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 8:06:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
111.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:11:35 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
103.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:11:51 P.M.
From: 0x004e84C5B931a633Ddb6f028Db2a26C3F0563609
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00030004c773e50af00005dbc99a68916df740c99ab2dca4c13c26c187db0f5e
100.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:11:51 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0004005ccdfbefea2c662e07261f322240d93424441b108cceaacbc855b294f4
103.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:11:51 P.M.
From: 0x001C65111C294EbF05E3C3358491058848C917BF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0012007746030e0957860e6318144ad680a004c1fcac2fdd93e5289866e1dbd8
111.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 8:11:35 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00000034f05598515cb2fea0db3051301f580ee2d7012100cb86ac7fe8597ed8