Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 7:55:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 7:55:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 7:56:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 320.16
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
13x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
320.16 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00038C04D3D623f050Fc4813326e93E111Fa655C • 0x006Ca90ce7d2B04E5088fF5222Cfd79D99bb6759.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 320 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00038C04D3D623f050Fc4813326e93E111Fa655C • 0x006Ca90ce7d2B04E5088fF5222Cfd79D99bb6759.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 7:55:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00038C04D3D623f050Fc4813326e93E111Fa655C
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006Ca90ce7d2B04E5088fF5222Cfd79D99bb6759
Net receiver
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
Net sender
Unknown type
54.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
54.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
34.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
320.16 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:55:23 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
24.78 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:54:11 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate3 tx
614.79 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:53:00 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:56:34 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
56.44 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:51:48 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:57:45 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
378.21 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:50:37 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
212.56 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:58:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
200 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:55:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00038C04D3D623f050Fc4813326e93E111Fa655C
To: 0x006Ca90ce7d2B04E5088fF5222Cfd79D99bb6759
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
34.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:55:08 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00180054ca6719366624ef166a34e6bd935078081f618b2e4d0447e5139e2c5d
54.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:55:08 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x007400663dc20f739c75c7be8aa0b38ec0ab9b8aa42043ff3b94b9ab5c1ec803
31.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:55:08 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002f00689b2c1b8cc14e914fd4e428942dc6f408cf3f6dda97b8c86e2067a426
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:55:08 P.M.
From: 0x00038C04D3D623f050Fc4813326e93E111Fa655C
To: 0x006Ca90ce7d2B04E5088fF5222Cfd79D99bb6759
Tx: 0x0003001a1339092e03153eebcbcdc07bdc556d3c482d130fdaef6e253d918a40
