Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 7:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 7:11:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 7:12:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 27,398.34
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 73% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
5.8x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
32
Observable rows
9
28.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
49
Asset volume
1,126.3 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 1126 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 7:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,220.26 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,904.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,004.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,315.5 QUAI
From exchange: 5,904.76 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
32 tx
1,126.3 QUAI • 49 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:11:07 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
192.98 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:09:55 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
27,418.27 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:12:19 P.M.
-2 min
52 tx
1,932.55 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:08:44 P.M.
-3 min
55 tx
1,796.85 QUAI • 73 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:07:32 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate8 tx
50,339.38 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:13:31 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:14:43 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
66.47 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:06:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.23 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:11:49 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
53.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:11:49 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00590065b423e06c15c27a24c3c0a5e9a6dda80a55bc52b1debe5b974f34a406
20.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:11:49 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00110041693d66b918d8c57fb3b16186a697d1868255b87fdea410118525a6ee
19,999.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:11:49 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x00680020d3dc7cc77c48388cacdd3ceed5ee95bb49355532b9c7afd1f4bfac89
101.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:11:19 P.M.
From: 0x00562B64de2b7324ceB63d7d59eF7472b172cF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0055001bba6d8004257706d82c84557c62b769abb76e2bc9301e150f1a6e9bb3
103.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:11:19 P.M.
From: 0x000d41f12BDC966B133AbDe47Ac1d733Cbbcaf10
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0055002f68fbf5437e7eaaf7a621d13fe74c4bede4ff9ae0dd7dfd66a1db8187
106.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:11:19 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0024004440f09b4aa55915e73b29418fb3cb9c7ee6854f79083ee4384a7612bd
1,004.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:11:19 P.M.
From: 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d002b48f01ca98f12d4f5b23f2066ceb96256648bf37cb485e0d13e4594e6
105.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:11:07 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0015006b2ae887448675677c43088019601542fbcb8e6f27776d9efaad606585
5,904.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:11:07 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Tx: 0x0037007ce2263f77a0f872561b48c43d7ec89b5014b58da7ba71227c3fded16d
