Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 7:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 7:09:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 7:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 192.98
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
192.98 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 193 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 7:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
101.69 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
91.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
91.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
85.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
16.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
52 tx
1,932.55 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:08:44 P.M.
-1 min
55 tx
1,796.85 QUAI • 73 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:07:32 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
192.98 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:09:55 P.M.
+2 min
32 tx
1,126.3 QUAI • 49 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:11:07 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
66.47 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:06:20 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate11 tx
27,418.27 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:12:19 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
45.04 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:05:08 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 7:03:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
91.29 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:09:13 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
85.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:09:33 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001f0016a3e6803c4764dcc963f5dac4ec2640bc464ed6c12ed3433394b7f072
16.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:09:33 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003400324ada27df869725716cfea0b43af57cf6d2ee997eb18b3df243d83792
91.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 7:09:13 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x003b006592f282296dc19d6e11d70ea46c5eb304d5e2f53f28066e8035614e28