Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 6:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 6:21:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 6:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 323.74
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
3.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
323.74 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 324 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 6:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
151.35 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
Net sender
Unknown type
113.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
113.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
Net sender
Unknown type
103.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
Net sender
Unknown type
58.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:20:56 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
88.57 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:19:45 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
323.74 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:22:08 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,531.23 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:18:33 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
241.51 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:23:20 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
335.63 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:17:22 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
46.1 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:16:10 P.M.
+5 min
Best candidate21 tx
18,442.04 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:25:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
113.59 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:21:59 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
48.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:21:59 P.M.
From: 0x00422Db0B7172dE5aA4Dad8d17923ea23BC8fEaA
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000d007de9c88bf4cacb0fe4949f31f2e2ab1f31919de9aa2cd88ef23e187253
113.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:21:59 P.M.
From: 0x006d6f94092Ef4da38ccF4a5Fcaf42578be48833
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0078007bc2cb4d3838c3f1447577ba7bd286592b07d3ba768edbcc54ffef835d
103.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:21:59 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0004001cc109cb621eb1cd017e5fb612685048af657fdebd81848708ff11dbc5
58.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:21:19 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x00560055f536bf4d6f276dce224bf3633fc5934e080325da6486807102af30d3
