Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 6:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 6:16:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 252.07
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
46.1 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 46 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 6:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
160.83 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
91.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
91.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
89.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
71.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
46.1 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:16:10 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,520.45 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:14:59 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
335.63 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:17:22 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
31.36 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:13:48 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate9 tx
3,946.91 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:12:36 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,531.23 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:18:33 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
88.57 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:19:45 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
294.82 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:11:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
91.24 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:16:14 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
89.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:16:49 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001d00078509f8daf64ce0f5c0cfe8ecf51177502c3915b46bf9433c1f54bf02
71.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:16:49 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00690049de1c7bb59c153ab90ba5f33afe84a7991503ce2a8a9c584dd8c491ce
91.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:16:14 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000e000fd8d455e0ba9cb15be351183068414c2953c215fe5030ca2ac23e10ac