Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 6:11:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 6:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,123.43
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 73% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
3.1x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
294.82 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 295 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,690.27 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
3,010.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0011A05789bFc813F2c40cB743C3d267Dafb0B7A
Net sender
Unknown type
266.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0036EFAbdA65DFE0D0539D080E970D33BE13F7A3
Net sender
Unknown type
220.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
220.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,690.27 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
294.82 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:11:25 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
93.79 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:10:12 P.M.
-2 min
51 tx
1,150.05 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:09:01 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate9 tx
3,946.91 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:12:36 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
377.11 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:07:48 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
31.36 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:13:48 P.M.
-4 min
53 tx
1,292.49 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:06:37 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,520.45 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 6:14:59 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,010.64 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:11:24 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
28.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:11:56 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007c004f3c5bf0f9f504a81875e5e4e87a2c6e74cc605a27793b182d32d6f193
89.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:11:56 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001a000d25c98d9dd3f4fb5347744aef2c5521bdeba33278031c9f8a4cf1e20a
94.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:11:24 P.M.
From: 0x002921A58F4b88B5B6782B8b369120393Ef27b26
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00390033bf45458015b7138dba09c30136cca17390cedb503eb81f2574ec3985
199.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:11:24 P.M.
From: 0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a0067b3b00727e1c2865a1b93ca6886fdda95e4e396b737a9331be13fd211
103.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:11:24 P.M.
From: 0x004f8411bABfC122BB6CD9665C885D4e049ED49f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00640021900a4090a931a636f4039e849603ba3e867bb96d0781fd119b95da53
110.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:11:24 P.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a00348c64641daaca44d44ffa897400f615cc149d690d317bfa7e72bd0cb6
266.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:11:24 P.M.
From: 0x0011A05789bFc813F2c40cB743C3d267Dafb0B7A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00750002473e4706a7cac96cf3e6ed205c7a7a77168eb4a74da083878183597b
3,010.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:11:24 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b0005ca3c219ae8a40383508142c0d339e090e93814953ff2a35a543b703b
220.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 6:11:17 P.M.
From: 0x0036EFAbdA65DFE0D0539D080E970D33BE13F7A3
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x004e002abe80b46d47fe9311406bd66ecbba259d2a9326507afa75c8677dab07