Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 5:31:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 5:31:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 5:32:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
51% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,115.11
Unexplained QUAI: 5,809.23
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 93% of explained volume
Relative context
4.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
5
71.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
11,924.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0046635BdC525111923ff072893231e5997b5b60 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 11924 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0046635BdC525111923ff072893231e5997b5b60 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 5:31:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (49% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (51%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0046635BdC525111923ff072893231e5997b5b60
Net sender
Unknown type
5,698.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,698.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
Net sender
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Net receiver
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
97.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
7,456.39 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:30:45 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:29:34 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
11,924.34 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:31:57 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
794.89 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:33:09 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
119.09 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:28:17 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
83.77 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:34:21 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:27:04 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
229.68 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:25:53 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,698.03 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:31:44 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0046635BdC525111923ff072893231e5997b5b60
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:31:44 P.M.
From: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x0029007214aaa63e6ae3c911c10bac8ba6acf17118fc7d318f4c315d68152c83
97.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:31:44 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x007600589bf137082f226272a0316d72883bfa86980775bbca8c1481e8cb738b
49.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:31:44 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0073005b73c7ad7a9114c66a3f263abe753fa2ce85f64c4474b2f1de8758813e
19.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:31:44 P.M.
From: 0x003596A67E27c316a9DFAb62271be0F9e38C9171
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x005f006d81ed7ab1ead7fe428f27f0cc6463a16e24c5a16a136be782608ff5e9
5,698.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:31:44 P.M.
From: 0x0046635BdC525111923ff072893231e5997b5b60
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0061000c7f8e021ef0e8d6c136dfde058a7fc39d1f61d66b9ac8310881c5bacd
