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Spike bucket

09/20/2026, 5:29:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/20/2026, 5:29:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 5:30:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,456.39
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 76% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C • 0x0046635BdC525111923ff072893231e5997b5b60.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C • 0x0046635BdC525111923ff072893231e5997b5b60.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 5:29:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C
Net sender
Unknown type
5,757 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x0046635BdC525111923ff072893231e5997b5b60
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,700 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,550 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,550 QUAI across 1 visible row
Actor intelligenceWallet profile
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
97.03 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Actor intelligenceWallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Alert contextSignal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min-5 min-1 min+1 min+5 min+15 minRaw alerts API

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
119.09 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:28:17 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:29:34 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:27:04 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
7,456.39 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:30:45 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
229.68 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:25:53 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate7 tx
11,924.34 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:31:57 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
111.48 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:24:41 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
794.89 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:33:09 P.M.

Biggest whale alert

5,700 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:29:58 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C
To: 0x0046635BdC525111923ff072893231e5997b5b60
Open tx

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
5,700 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:29:58 P.M.
From: 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C
To: 0x0046635BdC525111923ff072893231e5997b5b60
Tx: 0x003100301c35e96254b7e1bc52f85a21176f59e6041633beb188eb058f45fcaf
Open tx
57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:29:58 P.M.
From: 0x00204282ca2FEcc5Bf0ce083b76219101E6d111C
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x000c00200a44fcc49f64f2f3ea05a7449b43eccd853258b667da550adf88f039
Open tx
52.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:29:58 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00490007cd8efac3b383a814c50acb304a3e7754b94c1966a64853217fcb69b5
Open tx
60.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:29:58 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007a00322f95d40aaa8f713f64f2cd15937be11ab3e0483314b5030f5dfca36f
Open tx
36.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:29:58 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003d00686758ee6aa1b552c33193efad5f924d3902c19bc70cc8bce4a3bf852b
Open tx
1,550 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:29:58 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Tx: 0x0013000e0e94f0e58c44b4027ba907d882b44139e41b1c2a4c6a1779e22451e2
Open tx