Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 5:18:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 5:18:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 5:19:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
84% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 216.4
Unexplained QUAI: 39.9
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
256.31 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 256 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 5:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
216.4 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
87.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
Net sender
Unknown type
56.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
41.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
Net sender
Unknown type
31.18 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate5 tx
14,250.85 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:17:32 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
256.31 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:18:43 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
6,436.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:16:19 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
166.59 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:19:54 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:15:08 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:21:06 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
13,907.86 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:13:56 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
147.3 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:22:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
87.89 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:18:53 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
31.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:18:53 P.M.
From: 0x001DAce696Fc03C6Fc687dcF04Cbee232e28EB7b
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x000500046a3941dd9a5289366f7fd328b6cdfefbeb5d18aca802c3acbb061449
87.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:18:53 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001b00300efad5560f1f6d4e56372b175d66e5f0a6e46a48505ac7aff05ced15
56.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:18:36 P.M.
From: 0x002521D801561CcC0dCBf08d49EcC10bBc7d0a81
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0050007a9c26b52f83868a1c36ffc1062033938baa2d4c1a99f22938addbe311
41.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:18:36 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006000728f38936fc126589d9ec7eca2f90b7e2bc95b1a69b946c91366c02167