Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 5:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 5:12:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 5:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 961.92
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 12% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
25x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
961.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 962 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 5:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
747.7 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
119.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
116.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
116.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00174696e81aedE1174838Cce2079DB4d6C4DCB7
Net sender
Unknown type
108.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 747.7 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
27 tx
966.13 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:11:33 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
961.92 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:12:44 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
38.6 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:10:21 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate6 tx
13,907.86 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:13:56 P.M.
-3 min
53 tx
1,782.69 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:09:09 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:15:08 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:07:56 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
6,436.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:16:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
13,479.08 QUAI
Whale alertPersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:13:00 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
76.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x0053E63531C129f8678803beEb62546dF2fAD31d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004e002e5242a1ecc7e789526a4f2779e7f8828b5c7b544f5f4c28ad96833dd2
116.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00680078d7877771cc553c6cff345a4e5410ce66d2e1f0c587f5ecb675b6164e
105.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x006A8e4dbE2F2B780e21C8F03daD9253ca9735c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b005cef0e7dc2ff4ea09f7eab546292103176696d8d16d7cf63e0059c1e7a
108.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d00130d0603b6f685719fa1b0d8939f01cded1231f2e18dc25bf4196f9edd
101.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00250041585733e71f8cce3f1f7ad027e501271431521c89164fdf84766ef26c
108.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x00174696e81aedE1174838Cce2079DB4d6C4DCB7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e002a082e02258ca775050bdcf0cb908bdd076287d870076c75257ca385d1
101.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x0064Fbd982e770771641bb82F5961e900E3Bda88
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000100718d80860fcbe92d53234b8b93a63a8537d71926f2022aa1467c903d0d
103.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x003273B2988Dd0Eb22Ef74b5AB28e6F4D1E14189
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051007b573ee6a29e96ee5bee47feea8d9408aff325ba13b4795a8ba2a01785
119.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f0076f66a41955fc2afe40603e7b8072e017dca87ec3effd6a0a37dc0d805
7.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0052001a55e531c700df1d96f31c9ca01af21796677f15ce5a462acb9ad3e0c6
13.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:12:18 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x005e007fc71430a19850c3f4c19ed1ee11f23c00682b38af090e0f265d8e21af