Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 5:05:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 5:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 361.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 37% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
3.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
236.07 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x0037F0FAAf49727f305cef2E9daaA4FA98DD9516.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 236 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0 • 0x0037F0FAAf49727f305cef2E9daaA4FA98DD9516.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 5:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
228.2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0037F0FAAf49727f305cef2E9daaA4FA98DD9516
Net sender
Unknown type
133.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
133.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
115.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
112.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 133.72 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
1 tx
63.89 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:04:20 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
236.07 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:05:32 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
108.18 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:03:09 P.M.
+2 min
54 tx
836.07 QUAI • 69 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:06:45 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
147.67 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:01:58 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:07:56 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
130.64 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:00:46 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate53 tx
1,782.69 QUAI • 67 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:09:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
133.72 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:05:46 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0037F0FAAf49727f305cef2E9daaA4FA98DD9516
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
115.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:05:46 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x006200630f100a35d893e583a5655944e8c618af8a0f5b7f392d875b5588188d
133.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:05:46 P.M.
From: 0x0037F0FAAf49727f305cef2E9daaA4FA98DD9516
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f0024c9c9b93644ced609dfbb0e320f28325b6232dcc5f436b68d1ab44ff1
112.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:05:08 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x002b002f998977c0f8188f60ebc08d3fcc9832ad2675a79229d3459a988724e3