Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 5:00:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 5:00:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 5:01:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 165.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
130.64 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 131 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 5:00:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
133.51 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
Net sender
Unknown type
98.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
Net sender
Unknown type
34.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
32.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
1,353.07 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:59:34 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
130.64 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:00:46 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
106.99 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:58:18 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
147.67 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:01:58 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
170.21 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:57:06 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
108.18 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:03:09 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
196.6 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:55:54 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
63.89 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:04:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
98.63 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:00:27 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
34.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:00:50 P.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005000652fed6c22aff9934a93ac8981c677921d46e35887d0fdb6aa1ecbe61f
98.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:00:27 P.M.
From: 0x007ec137A2Cb6D9A046273cB172461AF47a0eCe8
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003c0044762a5fabc7cf3d748c86f11527826c0b60962f4585bf22b617a4a014
32.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 5:00:27 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x001a0015fbad24a6eb7e41519d95bd06635c293a3cd55248771015cd4c5e3797