Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 4:57:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 4:57:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:58:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
63% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 106.99
Unexplained QUAI: 63.22
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 57% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
170.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051 • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 170 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051 • 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:57:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (37% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
61.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Net receiver
Unknown type
61.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
45.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
45.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
170.21 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:57:06 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
196.6 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:55:54 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
106.99 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:58:18 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,104.89 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:54:42 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
111.76 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:53:30 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
1,353.07 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:59:34 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
130.64 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 5:00:46 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
227.65 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:52:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
61.29 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:57:18 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
45.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:57:18 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0078004b7643f8857bced5e532547582befa58e052f7434b6a58230961f1ffde
61.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:57:18 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x00620054442cc96efc5cbacd91d0a4a632bc80a4e448428a3b481138f3bf26e4