Spike bucket
09/20/2026, 4:24:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/20/2026, 4:24:00 P.M. to 09/20/2026, 4:25:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 148.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
148.91 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 149 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/20/2026, 4:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
116.5 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
Net sender
Unknown type
64.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
51.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
Net sender
Unknown type
32.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
32.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
70.71 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:23:40 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
148.91 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:24:52 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
183.58 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:22:28 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
60.07 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:26:03 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
60.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:21:17 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
56.34 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:27:14 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate3 tx
199.21 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:20:05 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/20/2026, 4:28:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
64.86 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:24:25 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
32.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:24:25 P.M.
From: 0x005597d47822d26B3F3eb9546B370D4d803e8f69
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00020061ac4662d53d28c8657f55c3cef19e625ea0b6a2738b417921910c7cd9
51.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:24:25 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0054006c0f158d6624003172c82c6002c7ef1dd7f1166966c2c7091842b9d26f
64.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/20/2026, 4:24:25 P.M.
From: 0x000069691B07CC01498ECe6f69C87e89887033fc
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x007c00549bd4d9d8da7587d4ac91f346d6c0221b9fb0af8215c57a4d81458ed1